Since the beginning of the pandemic, Prof. Dr. Florian Krammer has been writing (bi-)weekly updates in German for family and friends. Metropole was kindly granted permission to translate and publish these updates.
October 12, 2021
Here it is again, the bi-weekly COVID-19 update. So far, 238 million official SARS-CoV-2 infections have been registered, 4.868 million people have died from COVID-19 so far, and 6.5 billion doses of vaccine have been administered.
Stable Numbers in Europe
In many European countries, case numbers are stable, and often quite low. The big exception is the East and the Balkans. Romania, Ukraine, Serbia, Belarus, Russia, Croatia and Slovakia are currently experiencing waves of infection of varying severity.
In Slovenia it is already going down again and Czech Republic, Poland and Hungary see only very slight increases. Very slight increases, which hopefully will not become a trend, can also be seen in the Netherlands and Denmark.
Falling Case Numbers in the Americas & Asia
The number of cases in the USA, Canada and Mexico is decreasing. In South America – except in Venezuela – they are low and also decreasing in many Central American countries. In Asia, the situation is actually quite good, with case numbers falling almost everywhere. Exceptions are South Korea, where the number of cases remains about the same, and Singapore, where there is a sharp increase.
Spikes in Oceania & China
Australia has seen a further increase in cases, and New Zealand and China each have a handful of cases. In the Middle East and Maghreb, case numbers are low or going down almost everywhere. Exceptions are Turkey (stable high) and Egypt (rising). In Africa, the situation is also stable, with a few exceptions.
The Vaccination Rate Counts
I cannot say exactly how the pandemic will continue. In some countries, basic immunity through vaccination and/or infection is probably high enough now to prevent further waves. In others, certainly not. Hard to say what will happen, but the worst is definitely over. If we’re lucky, we’ll get through the winter without any problems.
However, the vaccination rates in Austria and Germany are unfortunately far too low. For the unvaccinated, the situation is currently still dangerous in Austria and Germany, one should not be deceived just because the case numbers are not extremely high.
Vaccines for Children
A short update on vaccinations in the age group 5-11 years. Pfizer has now submitted the data to the US regulatory authority. The decision on the approval will be made in October. In Europe it will probably take a little longer.